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According to their study, both skat and poker involve more than 50 per cent luck, yet over the long term, skill prevails.

Courts in Germany legally classify poker as a game of chance that can be played only in government-sanctioned casinos, whereas skat is considered a game of skill.

This classification stems from a court decision taken in One frequently used assessment criterion is whether the outcome for one player depends more than 50 per cent on luck.

But how can this be measured objectively? It is this question the Heidelberg researchers investigated in their game theoretic study.

Using data from more than four million online games of chess, poker, and skat, they developed a rating system for poker and skat based on the Elo method for chess, which calculates the relative skill levels of individual players.

In a game involving more luck and chance, the numbers are therefore not likely to be so far apart. The Heidelberg research confirms exactly that: the distribution is much narrower in poker and skat.

Whereas the standard deviation — the average deviation from the mean — for chess is over , the other two games did not exceed To create a standard of comparison for a game involving more than 50 per cent luck, the researchers replaced every other game in their chess data set with a coin toss.

This produced a deviation of 45, which is still much higher than poker and skat. By using our site, you acknowledge that you have read and understand our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.

August 21, An image of a person playing the poker varient, Texas Hold'em. Credit: Wikipedia. DOI: Provided by Heidelberg University.

Citation : Skat and poker: More luck than skill? This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission.

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